Estimating the size of your potential target market will determine how many potential customers there are available for your brand or business.
It will also assist in setting your sales and marketing objectives, establishing your marketing strategies and implementing your tactics.
It is important to note that when determining your potential target market size that you factor in the percentage of people who could have a need for your product or service and not just everyone.
For example, if you provide an internet service for small businesses you will only be interested in small businesses in your target area that own computers and use the internet.
To estimate your target market size you need to consider the following:
Total number of potential customers
This is the maximum number of customers who may be eligible to purchase your product or service.
% of customers who could have a need for your product or service
This is important as you need to estimate the percentage of potential customers who will have a need for your product or service.
No of times they could purchase per year
This is the usual number of times your potential customers could purchase your product(s) or service(s) during one year.
Average market price of the product(s) or service(s)
This is just the average price competitors in the market you want to enter charge.
Potential target market number of customers
This is the potential number of customers who have a need and could purchase your product or service. Remember not all potential customers will become your customers as some may purchase your competitor’s product or service.
Potential target market dollar value
This is the dollar value of your potential target market.
For example, a potential target market size can be calculated as follows:
- Potential number of customers 1,000
- % of customers who have a need 10%
- No. of times they could purchase per year 10
- Average price $50
The calculation is:
- 1,000 x 10% = 100 potential number of customers who have a need
- 100 customers x 10 = 1,000 potential purchase opportunities
- Total target market dollar value (1,000 x $50) = $50,000
This estimation is a guide only, however it can assist in the planning stages so that you do not enter markets that may in fact be too small to run a viable business.
How do you estimate the size of your target market?
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Good on you, Susan. This is the sort of thing I SHOULD have done ten years ago!
Why is it that I can bring exacting rigour to all my clients’ operations, but when it comes to my own, this sort of hard numbers work goes right out the window?!
Many thanks for another great post.
Best regards, P.
Hi Paul, I think this applies to most professions. This type of simple exercise can be overlooked especially when we are in a hurry to launch our products or services. It isn’t as exciting as other activities.
Totally forgot about the caption!
PS: Where’s my image caption?!
Susan,
This is a great framework and like Paul, I should have done it years ago when I was starting out.
Don’t you think this exercise also really helps you to create a good sales target list to?
I bet you will have a lot more success marketing and selling to the market once you dig into their need like this.
Hi Bill,
Thanks for your comment and you are right. You could actually use this in a number of ways. I hadn’t thought of the sales target list and that is a great idea.
Susan
good fundamental advice for new small business owners. This is basic advice, but for non-marketers looking to start their first business, these are the basics of market estimation.
Hi Carlos,
Thanks for your comment. Thought it might help small business owners who do not have access to more sophisticated tools. Would you add anything to make this better?
Susan
For some reason my reply did not show. Thanks for your comment. Thought it might help small business owners who do not have access to more sophisticated tools. Would you add anything to make this better?